{"id":241,"date":"2020-09-27T00:49:24","date_gmt":"2020-09-26T15:49:24","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/?p=241"},"modified":"2020-09-27T00:49:24","modified_gmt":"2020-09-26T15:49:24","slug":"%e3%82%ac%e3%82%a6%e3%82%b9%e6%b7%b7%e5%90%88%e3%83%94%e3%83%bc%e3%82%af%e3%81%a7stan%e3%81%a7%e3%81%ae%e6%8e%a8%e5%ae%9a%e3%81%8c%e3%82%b3%e3%82%b1%e3%81%9f%e3%82%8a%e3%80%81%e3%82%b3%e3%82%b1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/2020\/%e3%82%ac%e3%82%a6%e3%82%b9%e6%b7%b7%e5%90%88%e3%83%94%e3%83%bc%e3%82%af%e3%81%a7stan%e3%81%a7%e3%81%ae%e6%8e%a8%e5%ae%9a%e3%81%8c%e3%82%b3%e3%82%b1%e3%81%9f%e3%82%8a%e3%80%81%e3%82%b3%e3%82%b1\/","title":{"rendered":"\u30ac\u30a6\u30b9\u6df7\u5408\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u3067stan\u3067\u306e\u63a8\u5b9a\u304c\u30b3\u30b1\u305f\u308a\u3001\u30b3\u30b1\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u308a"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>\u8a08\u6e2c\u95a2\u9023\u3060\u3068\u6df7\u5408\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u3063\u3066\u826f\u304f\u4f7f\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3088\u306d\u3002\u9811\u5f35\u3063\u3066\u30cf\u30a4\u30d1\u30b9\u30d5\u30a3\u30eb\u30bf\u901a\u3057\u3066\u5404\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u306e\u4f4d\u7f6e\u3092\u6c42\u3081\u3066\u307f\u305f\u308a\u3001\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u95a2\u6570\u30d5\u30a3\u30c3\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30b0\u3067\u9811\u5f35\u3063\u3066\u307f\u305f\u308a\u3002\u305d\u308c\u3001\u30d9\u30a4\u30ba\u63a8\u5b9a\u3067\u3084\u308a\u305f\u3044\u3067\u3059\u3088\u306d\u3002\u3063\u3066\u306e\u304c\u4eca\u56de\u306e\u4f8b\u984c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u305d\u3053\u3067\u30ce\u30a4\u30ba\u304c\u6709\u308b\u6642\u306f\u3046\u307e\u304f\u3044\u3063\u3066\u305f\u306e\u306b\u3001\u30ce\u30a4\u30ba\u304c\u6e1b\u308b\u3068stan(\u3084pyMC\u7b49HMC\u30d9\u30fc\u30b9)\u3067\u306e\u63a8\u5b9a\u304c\u3046\u307e\u304f\u884c\u304b\u306a\u304f\u306a\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3001\u4e00\u898b\u76f4\u611f\u306b\u53cd\u3059\u308b\u73fe\u8c61\u304c\u3042\u308b\u306e\u3067\u7d39\u4ecb\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u30ce\u30a4\u30ba\u3060\u3051\u3067\u306a\u304f\u3001\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306e\u30b5\u30f3\u30d7\u30ea\u30f3\u30b0\u901f\u5ea6\u304c\u901f\u304f\u3001\u5bc6\u306b\u53d6\u308b\u307b\u3069\u30b3\u30b1\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u30b3\u30ec\u3082\u307e\u305f\u3001\u306a\u3093\u3067\u60c5\u5831\u5897\u3048\u3066\u308b\u306e\u306b\u30b3\u30b1\u308b\u306d\u3093\u3002\u3063\u3066\u7a81\u3063\u8fbc\u307f\u305f\u304f\u306a\u308b\u73fe\u8c61\u3082\u8d77\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 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https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-34-300x187.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 359px) 100vw, 359px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4f8b\u3048\u3070\u4ee5\u4e0b\u306e\u30b0\u30e9\u30d5\u306e\u8d64\u3044\u7dda\u304c\u89b3\u6e2c\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3067\u3059(\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u70b9\u6570N=80,\u30ce\u30a4\u30ba\u03c3=0.05\uff09\u3002<br>\u9752\u3044\u7dda\u306fstan\u3067\u30b5\u30f3\u30d7\u30ea\u30f3\u30b0\u3057\u305f\u7d50\u679c\u3092\u91cd\u306d\u66f8\u304d\u3057\u305f\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3002\u898b\u305f\u611f\u3058\u81ea\u7136\u306a\u5206\u5e03\u3092\u7372\u5f97\u51fa\u6765\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002Rhat\u30821.02\u306b\u7d0d\u307e\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-35.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-244\" width=\"445\" height=\"296\" srcset=\"https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-35.png 445w, https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-35-300x200.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 445px) 100vw, 445px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-36.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-245\" width=\"597\" height=\"140\" srcset=\"https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-36.png 704w, https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-36-300x71.png 300w, https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-36-560x132.png 560w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 597px) 100vw, 597px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5f8c\u3067\u3001\u30b3\u30b1\u3066\u308b\u30b5\u30f3\u30d7\u30eb\u3068\u6bd4\u8f03\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b\u3001\u6bd4\u8f03\u7684\u65e8\u304f\u884c\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u306e\u30b5\u30f3\u30d7\u30eb\u306e\u30c8\u30ec\u30fc\u30b9\u30d7\u30ed\u30c3\u30c8\u3082\u898b\u3066\u307f\u307e\u3057\u3087\u3046\u3002\u5de6\u306b\u3042\u308b\u30b0\u30e9\u30d5\u306b\u3042\u308b\u8907\u6570\u306e\u8272\u306e\u7dda\u306f\u5404chain\u3067\u306e\u5404\u5909\u6570\u306e\u4e8b\u5f8c\u5206\u5e03\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u901a\u5e38\u306f\u6982\u306d\u4e00\u81f4\u3059\u308b\u5206\u5e03\u3092\u3068\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"311\" src=\"https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-39-1024x311.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-248\" srcset=\"https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-39-1024x311.png 1024w, https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-39-300x91.png 300w, https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-39-768x233.png 768w, https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-39-720x218.png 720w, https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-39-560x170.png 560w, https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-39.png 1098w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u30ce\u30a4\u30ba\u3092\u6e1b\u3089\u3057\u3066\u307f\u3088\u3046\uff01\u305d\u3057\u3066\u6b7b\u3002<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u30ce\u30a4\u30ba\u3092\u03c3=0.05\u304b\u30890.001\u306b\u6e1b\u3089\u3057\u3066\u307f\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"454\" height=\"294\" src=\"https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-37.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-246\" srcset=\"https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-37.png 454w, https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-37-300x194.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 454px) 100vw, 454px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u30b5\u30f3\u30d7\u30ea\u30f3\u30b0\u7d50\u679c\u306f\u6982\u306d\u3001\u89b3\u6e2c\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3067\u3042\u308b\u8d64\u3044\u7dda\u306b\u6cbf\u3063\u3066\u6b32\u3057\u3044\u306e\u306b\u5168\u7136\u9055\u3046\u6240\u3092\u901a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u30b5\u30f3\u30d7\u30eb\u304c\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u30c8\u30ec\u30fc\u30b9\u30d7\u30ed\u30c3\u30c8\u3092\u307f\u308b\u3068\u3001chain\u304c\uff12\u3064\u306e\u6d3e\u95a5\u306b\u5206\u304b\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u304c\u89e3\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"335\" src=\"https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-38-1024x335.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-247\" srcset=\"https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-38-1024x335.png 1024w, https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-38-300x98.png 300w, https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-38-768x251.png 768w, https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-38-720x235.png 720w, https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-38-560x183.png 560w, https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-38.png 1071w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3053\u308c\u306f\u3001MCMC\u30b5\u30f3\u30d7\u30ea\u30f3\u30b0\u306e\u958b\u59cb\u70b9\u306e\u904b\u304c\u60aa\u3044\u3068\u3001\u5c40\u6240\u306b\u6349\u3048\u3089\u308c\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3093\u3067\u3059\u306d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3053\u308c\u304c\u8d77\u304d\u308b\u539f\u56e0\u306f\u76f4\u63a5\u7684\u306b\u306fMCMC\u304c\u6b7b\u306e\u8c37\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u3089\u308c\u306a\u3044\u3068\u3044\u3046\u6240\u306b\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u6b7b\u306e\u8c37\u306f\u78ba\u7387\u304c\u307b\u307c\u30bc\u30ed\u5730\u5e2f\u306e\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3059\u3002\u4ee5\u4e0b\u306e@teramonagis\u3055\u3093\u306e\u30b9\u30e9\u30a4\u30c9\u3067\u8a73\u3057\u304f\u8aac\u660e\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-40.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-250\" width=\"269\" height=\"223\" srcset=\"https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-40.png 794w, https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-40-300x249.png 300w, https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-40-768x637.png 768w, https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-40-720x598.png 720w, https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-40-560x465.png 560w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 269px) 100vw, 269px\" \/><figcaption><a href=\"https:\/\/www.slideshare.net\/teramonagi\/tokyo-scipy5-20130126\">https:\/\/www.slideshare.net\/teramonagi\/tokyo-scipy5-20130126<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6b7b\u306e\u8c37\u304c\u767a\u751f\u3059\u308b\u7406\u7531\u3067\u3059\u304c\u3001\u30ac\u30a6\u30b9\u95a2\u6570\u306e\u30d1\u30e9\u30e1\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u9023\u7d9a\u7684\u306b\u5909\u3048\u3066\u3044\u304f\u3068\u3001\u4e8c\u4e57\u8aa4\u5dee\u304c\u5358\u8abf\u306b\u5927\u304d\u304f\u306a\u308b\u306e\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u5927\u304d\u304f\u306a\u3063\u305f\u308a\u3001\u5c0f\u3055\u304f\u306a\u3063\u305f\u308a\u3057\u306a\u304c\u3089\u5909\u5316\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u3067\u3059\u3002\u305d\u306e\u305b\u3044\u3067<strong>\u30ce\u30a4\u30ba\u5e45\u3092\u793a\u3059\u03c3\u306b\u6bd4\u3079\u3066<\/strong>\u5c40\u6240\u89e3\u306e\u8c37\u304c\u6df1\u3044\u5834\u5408\u306bMCMC\u306e\u30b5\u30f3\u30d7\u30ea\u30f3\u30b0\u304c\u8131\u51fa\u51fa\u6765\u306a\u304f\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5b9f\u306f\u3053\u306e\u554f\u984c\u52fe\u914d\u6cd5\u3067\u6700\u5c0f\u4e8c\u4e57\u5024\u3092\u6c42\u3081\u308b\u6642\u306b\u3082\u8d77\u304d\u308b\u306e\u3067\u3001\u30d9\u30a4\u30ba\u7279\u6709\u306e\u554f\u984c\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u306e\u3067\u3059\u304c\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u30d9\u30a4\u30ba\u3067\u3084\u3063\u3066\u308b\u3068\u52b9\u7387\u826f\u304f\u5c40\u6240\u89e3\u3092\u898b\u4ed8\u3051\u3066\u304f\u308c\u308b\u306e\u3067\u76ee\u7acb\u3061\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u70b9\u6570\u3092\u5897\u3084\u3057\u3066\u307f\u3088\u3046\uff01\u305d\u3057\u3066\u6b7b\u3002<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u30ce\u30a4\u30ba\u91cf\u306f\u305d\u306e\u307e\u307e\u306b\u3001\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u70b9\u6570\u3092\u5897\u3084\u3057\u3066\u307f\u307e\u3057\u3087\u3046\u3002\u60c5\u5831\u306f\u5897\u3048\u307e\u3059\u306d\u3002\u60c5\u5831\u5897\u3048\u305f\u3060\u3051\u3060\u304b\u3089\u30fb\u30fb\u3063\u3066\u671f\u5f85\u3055\u305b\u3066\u304a\u3044\u3066\u3001\u6b7b\u306b\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"499\" height=\"299\" src=\"https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-41.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-251\" srcset=\"https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-41.png 499w, https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-41-300x180.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 499px) 100vw, 499px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u30c8\u30ec\u30fc\u30b9\u30d7\u30ed\u30c3\u30c8\u306e\u5f62\u72b6\u306f\u82e5\u5e72\u9055\u3046\u3082\u306e\u3082\u306e\u3001\u5c40\u6240\u89e3\u306b\u30c8\u30e9\u30c3\u30d7\u3055\u308c\u3066\u308b\u306e\u304c\u898b\u3048\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"336\" src=\"https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-42-1024x336.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-252\" srcset=\"https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-42-1024x336.png 1024w, https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-42-300x99.png 300w, https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-42-768x252.png 768w, https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-42-720x237.png 720w, https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-42-560x184.png 560w, https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-42.png 1041w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u60c5\u5831\u304c\u5897\u3048\u308b\u3068\u30ac\u30a6\u30b9\u95a2\u6570\u304c\u65e8\u304f\u30d5\u30a3\u30c3\u30c8\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304b\u3069\u3046\u304b\u306e\u5c24\u5ea6\u304c\u3088\u308a\u92ed\u654f\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3001\u3059\u306a\u308f\u3061\u5c40\u6240\u89e3\u306e\u8c37\u304c\u6df1\u304f\u306a\u308b\u306e\u3067\u6b7b\u306b\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u89e3\u6c7a\u65b9\u6cd5:2\u6bb5\u968e\u713c\u304d\u920d\u3057<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u89e3\u6c7a\u65b9\u6cd5\u3068\u3057\u3066\u4eca\u56de\u306f\u713c\u304d\u920d\u3057\u3092\u3084\u3063\u3066\u307f\u307e\u3059\u3002\u307e\u305a\u305d\u306e\u524d\u306b\u6e29\u5ea6\u3063\u3066\u4f55\u3060\uff1f\u3068\u3044\u3046\u8a71\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002MCMC\u30b5\u30f3\u30d7\u30ea\u30f3\u30b0\u306e\u6642\u306f\u5c24\u5ea6p(x|\u03b8)\u3092\u03b2\u4e57\u3059\u308b\u4e8b\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u306e\u03b2\u306f\u901a\u5e38\uff11\u3067\u3059\u304c\u3001\u03b2\u30920.1\u7b49\u5c0f\u3055\u306a\u5024\u306b\u3059\u308b\u3068\u5206\u5e03\u3092\u3088\u308a\u307c\u304b\u3059\u4e8b\u304c\u51fa\u6765\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u306e\u03b2\u3092\u9006\u6e29\u5ea6\u3068\u547c\u3073\u307e\u3059\u3002(\u5b9f\u306f\u79c1\u3082\u305d\u3093\u306a\u306b\u8a73\u3057\u304f\u306f\u77e5\u3089\u306a\u3044\uff09<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"437\" height=\"134\" src=\"https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-43.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-253\" srcset=\"https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-43.png 437w, https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-43-300x92.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 437px) 100vw, 437px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>stan\u306e\u30b3\u30fc\u30c9\u3067\u306f\u4e0a\u306e\u6c34\u8272\u3067\u8272\u3092\u306c\u3063\u305f\u90e8\u5206\u304c\u9006\u6e29\u5ea6\u3092\u9069\u7528\u3059\u308b\u90e8\u5206\u3067\u3059\u3002target\u306f\u4e8b\u5f8c\u78ba\u7387\u3092\u5bfe\u6570\u3068\u3063\u3066\u7b26\u53f7\u3092\u53cd\u8ee2\u3055\u305b\u305f\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3002normal_lpdf\u306f\u6b63\u898f\u5206\u5e03\u306e\u5bfe\u6570\u306e\u8ca0\u306a\u306e\u3067((Y-yy)\/sigma)**2\u3092\u30b5\u30f3\u30d7\u30eb\u306e\u6570\u3060\u3051\u52a0\u7b97\u3057\u3066\u308b\u3093\u3067\u3059\u306d\u3002\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u70b9\u6570\u304c\u5897\u3048\u308c\u3070\u8c37\u306f\u3088\u308a\u6df1\u304f\u306a\u308b\u3057\u3001\u30ce\u30a4\u30ba\u5e45\u3067\u3042\u308bsigma\u304c\u5c0f\u3055\u304f\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3082\u8c37\u304c\u3088\u308a\u6df1\u304f\u306a\u308b\u306e\u306f\u76f4\u611f\u7684\u306b\u3082\u3088\u304f\u89e3\u308b\u3067\u3057\u3087\u3046\u3002T_beta\u306f\u30b3\u30ec\u3092\u5358\u7d14\u306b0.1\u7b49\u5c0f\u3055\u306a\u5024\u3092\u639b\u3051\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u5bfe\u51e6\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u8a00\u3048\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5f53\u7136\u306a\u304c\u3089\u305d\u306e\u5206\u5f97\u3089\u308c\u308b\u4e8b\u5f8c\u5206\u5e03\u306f\u5143\u3005\u8a08\u7b97\u3057\u3088\u3046\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u30e2\u30ce\u3088\u308a\u3082\u30d6\u30ed\u30fc\u30c9\u306a\u5206\u5e03\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u9ad8\u6e29\uff08\u03b2\u304c\u5c0f\u3055\u3044\uff09\u6761\u4ef6\u3067\u3048\u3089\u308c\u305f\u7d50\u679c\u3092\u6d41\u7528\u3057\u3066\u3001\u5c40\u6240\u89e3\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u7bc4\u56f2\u3092\u9078\u3093\u3067\u5b9a\u6e29\uff08\u03b2=1)\u6761\u4ef6\u3067\u6539\u3081\u3066\u30b5\u30f3\u30d7\u30ea\u30f3\u30b0\u3059\u308b\u306e\u304c\u713c\u304d\u920d\u3057\u3067\u3059\u3002\u901a\u5e38\u306f\u5f90\u3005\u306b\u51b7\u5374\u3059\u308b\u306e\u3067\u3059\u304c\u3001\u3053\u306e\u7a0b\u5ea6\u306a\u30892\u6bb5\u968e\u3067\u5341\u5206\u9003\u3052\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5b9f\u88c5\u306f\u3068\u3066\u3082\u7c21\u5358\u3067\u3001\u03b2\u3092\u5c0f\u3055\u3044\u5024\u4e0b\u306e\u4f8b\u306f0.001\u3067\u5b9f\u884c\u3057\u305f\u5f8c\u306b\u3001\u5e38\u6e29\u306e\u30b5\u30f3\u30d7\u30ea\u30f3\u30b0\u306e\u521d\u671f\u5024\u3068\u3057\u3066\u524d\u56de\u306e\u5b9f\u884c\u7d50\u679c\u306e\u6700\u7d42\u4f4d\u7f6e\uff08\u30ac\u30a6\u30b9\u95a2\u6570\u7b49\u306e\u30d1\u30e9\u30e1\u30fc\u30bf\uff09\u3092\u521d\u671f\u5024\u306b\u3059\u308b\u3060\u3051\u3067\u3059\u3002pystan\u3067\u306fget_last_position\u3067\u6700\u7d42\u4f4d\u7f6e\u3092\u53d6\u3063\u3066\u3053\u308c\u308b\u306e\u3067\u3059\u304c\u3001\u53e4\u3044pystan\u306b\u306f\u306a\u3044\u306e\u3067\u3001\u65b0\u3057\u3044pystan\u306b\u30d0\u30fc\u30b8\u30e7\u30f3\u30a2\u30c3\u30d7\u3057\u307e\u3057\u3087\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-44.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-254\" width=\"701\" height=\"126\" srcset=\"https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-44.png 885w, https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-44-300x54.png 300w, https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-44-768x139.png 768w, https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-44-720x130.png 720w, https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-44-560x101.png 560w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 701px) 100vw, 701px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u30ce\u30a4\u30ba\u3092\u6e1b\u3089\u3057\u305f\u5834\u5408\u3067\u306e\u713c\u304d\u920d\u3057\u7d50\u679c<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u03b2=0.001\u3067\u307e\u305a\u306f\u63a8\u5b9a\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"456\" height=\"311\" src=\"https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-45.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-255\" srcset=\"https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-45.png 456w, https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-45-300x205.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 456px) 100vw, 456px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u9752\u3044\u7dda\u3067\u793a\u3055\u308c\u308b\u63a8\u5b9a\u7d50\u679c\u304c\u304b\u306a\u308a\u30d6\u30ed\u30fc\u30c9\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001\u81ea\u7136\u306a\u5e83\u304c\u308a\u65b9\u306b\u7d0d\u307e\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u304c\u898b\u3066\u53d6\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u306e\u30b5\u30f3\u30d7\u30ea\u30f3\u30b0\u304c16chain\u3067\u884c\u308f\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u3067\u3001\u6700\u7d42\u3044\u3061\u306f16\u500b\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u306e16\u500b\u3092\u305d\u306e\u307e\u307e\u5f15\u304d\u7d99\u3044\u3067\u03b2=1\u3067\u5b9f\u884c\u3059\u308b\u3068\u7dba\u9e97\u306b\u63a8\u5b9a\u3067\u304d\u308b\u306e\u304c\u898b\u3066\u53d6\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002Rhat\u30821.0\u3067\u30d0\u30c3\u30c1\u30ea\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"464\" height=\"317\" src=\"https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-46.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-256\" srcset=\"https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-46.png 464w, https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-46-300x205.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 464px) 100vw, 464px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u70b9\u6570\u3092\u5897\u3084\u3057\u305f\u5834\u5408\u3067\u306e\u713c\u304d\u920d\u3057<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u70b9\u6570\u3092\u5897\u3084\u3057\u305f\u3068\u304d\u306f\u8a66\u884c\u932f\u8aa4\u306e\u7d50\u679c\u03b2=0.1\u306b\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"455\" height=\"309\" src=\"https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-47.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-257\" srcset=\"https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-47.png 455w, https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-47-300x204.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 455px) 100vw, 455px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u03b2=0.1\u7a0b\u5ea6\u306a\u306e\u3067\u3001\u63a8\u5b9a\u7d50\u679c\u306e\u5206\u5e03\u306f\u305d\u3093\u306a\u306b\u62e1\u304c\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u898b\u6613\u304f\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b\u3001\u4e8c\u3064\u306e\u30ac\u30a6\u30b9\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u3092\u305d\u308c\u305e\u308c\u9752\u30fb\u8d64\u306b\u308f\u3051\u3066\u30d7\u30ed\u30c3\u30c8\u3057\u305f\u306e\u304c\u4ee5\u4e0b\u3067\u3059\u3002\u305d\u3053\u305d\u3053\u306e\u5e45\u306f\u3042\u308b\u3082\u306e\u306e\u3001\u308f\u308a\u3068\u81ea\u7136\u306a\u7bc4\u56f2\u3067\u843d\u3061\u7740\u3044\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"451\" height=\"319\" src=\"https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-48.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-258\" srcset=\"https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-48.png 451w, https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-48-300x212.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 451px) 100vw, 451px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u7d50\u679c\u3092\u5f15\u304d\u7d99\u3044\u3067\u3001\u5b9a\u6e29\u306b\u3057\u305f\u306e\u304c\u4ee5\u4e0b\u3067\u3059\u3002\u30ce\u30a4\u30ba\u306b\u6bd4\u3079\u63a8\u5b9a\u5e45\u306e\u307b\u3046\u304c\u5c0f\u3055\u3044\u306e\u3067\u5b8c\u5168\u306b\u307f\u3048\u306a\u304f\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002Rhat\u306f1.0\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u3066\u30d0\u30c3\u30c1\u30ea\u30b5\u30f3\u30d7\u30ea\u30f3\u30b0\u3067\u304d\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"468\" height=\"309\" src=\"https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-49.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-259\" srcset=\"https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-49.png 468w, https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-49-300x198.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 468px) 100vw, 468px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5206\u96e2\u3057\u305f\u56f3\u3092\u898b\u3066\u3082\u59a5\u5f53\u305d\u3046\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"461\" height=\"320\" src=\"https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-50.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-260\" srcset=\"https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-50.png 461w, https:\/\/akirayou.net\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/image-50-300x208.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 461px) 100vw, 461px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u713c\u304d\u920d\u3057\u306f\u5b8c\u74a7\u304b\uff1f<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e0a\u306e\u4f8b\u3067\u306f\u5c40\u6240\u89e3\u3068\u5927\u57df\u89e3\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u5f62\u3060\u3063\u305f\u306e\u3067\u3001\u713c\u304d\u920d\u3057\u3067OK\u3067\u3057\u305f\u3002\u3057\u304b\u3057\u73fe\u5b9f\u306b\u306f\u3001\u30d1\u30bf\u30fc\u30f3A\u3068\u30d1\u30bf\u30fc\u30f3B\u304c\u4e94\u5206\u4e94\u5206\u3067\u6709\u308a\u5f97\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u3092\u898b\u51fa\u3057\u305f\u3044\u5834\u5408\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u6642\u306b\u713c\u304d\u920d\u3057\u3092\u4f7f\u3046\u3068\u4e94\u5206\u4e94\u5206\u306e\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u3092\u898b\u9003\u3059\u304b\u3082\u3057\u308c\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u4f8b\u3048\u3070chain\u6570\u304c4\u306e\u5834\u5408\u30012\/2**4=1\/8\u306e\u78ba\u7387\u3067\u5168\u54e1\u304c\u30d1\u30bf\u30fc\u30f3AorB\u3092\u9078\u3093\u3067\u3057\u307e\u3046\u304b\u3082\u3057\u308c\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e94\u5206\u4e94\u5206\u306e\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u3092\u898b\u4ed8\u3051\u305f\u6642\u306f\u30a8\u30e9\u30fc\u306b\u306a\u308c\u3070\u3044\u3044\u3084\u3068\u8a00\u3046\u6642\u306f\u3001chain\u6570\u3092\u5341\u5206\u306b\u5897\u3084\u3057\u3066\u304a\u3051\u3070OK\u3067\u3059\u304c\u3001\u4e21\u65b9\u3092\u3061\u3083\u3093\u3068\u30b5\u30f3\u30d7\u30ea\u30f3\u30b0\u3057\u305f\u3044\u3068\u3044\u3046\u5834\u5408\u306b\u306f<a 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